Sunday, September 4, 2016

Davey, Gordon, et.al. BFO Data

Davey, Gordon, et. al. all members of The Australian Defense Science and Technology Group have published a book, Bayesian Methods in the Search for MH370, Springer 2016. The book was published as Open Access, so I am allowed to post the "duplication" below from page 30 of the book.

This book is published open access.
Open Access This book is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution- NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which per- mits any noncommercial use, duplication, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, a link is provided to the Creative Commons license and any changes made are indicated.


The material describes the BFO error, difference between logged and calculated BFO, on a test flight described in the text accompanying the figure.

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The significance of the above data is two-fold. First there are BFO errors on the order of 20Hz, and second the error is one-sided. Previously Inmarsat suggested BFO accuracy should not be assumed to be better than 7Hz (not clear if this peak, or one sigma). Analysts have been synthesizing candidate paths with low single digit BFO errors. This new data opens up the range of 7th arc solutions rather dramatically.